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Saturday, August 9, 2025

from 1970 to 2023 the population increased over 128 million, yet the number of daily births declined by 300

 Trends:

  • Births per capita have declined steadily from around 1.8–1.9% in 1970 to about 1.07% in 2023.

  • The early 1970s saw the highest birth-per-population rates of the modern era.

  • Since around 2000, the birth rate has stayed in the 1.3%–1.1% range, declining further in the 2020s.

🗓️ Births per Capita (% of Population) — U.S. Crude Birth Rate

YearCrude Birth Rate (per 1,000)Births as % of Population
197018.41.84 %
1971~17.2~1.72 %
1972~15.6~1.56 %
1980~15.9~1.59 %
1990~14.7~1.47 %
2000~14.7~1.47 %
2010~13.0~1.30 %
202010.91.09 %
202111.01.10 %
202211.01.10 %
202310.71.07 %

🇺🇸 U.S. Population and Births per Day (1970–2020)

YearU.S. PopulationTotal Births (Est.)Avg. Births/Day
1970203,302,0313,731,000~10,220
1980226,545,8053,612,000~9,900
1990248,709,8734,158,000~11,390
2000281,421,9064,059,000~11,120
2010308,745,5383,999,000~10,950
2020331,449,2813,614,000~9,900


DecadeEstimated Abortions (Total)
1970–1979~4.0 million
1980–1989~15.3 million
1990–1999~14.4 million
2000–2009~12.6 million
2010–2019~9.1 million 

Total Estimate 1970–2020:

~56.3 million abortions


To calculate how many births there would have been per decade and per day if abortions hadn't occurred, we'll add the estimated abortions back to the actual births for each decade.

✅ Here's the Data (U.S. Only):

DecadeActual BirthsEstimated AbortionsTotal If No AbortionsBirths/Day (with abortion)Births/Day (if none aborted)
1970s~36.3 million~4.0 million~40.3 million~9,945~11,041
1980s~38.3 million~15.3 million~53.6 million~10,493~14,685
1990s~39.1 million~14.4 million~53.5 million~10,712~14,658
2000s~40.5 million~12.6 million~53.1 million~11,096~14,548
2010s~36.2 million~9.1 million~45.3 million~9,918~12,411
2020~3.6 million~0.93 million~4.53 million~9,863~12,411

Note: Births per day = total births ÷ number of days in the period (e.g., 10 years = 3,652.5 days accounting for leap years).


🔎 What Does This Mean?

If no abortions had occurred:

  • Each decade would have seen 2,500 to 4,000 more babies born per day, depending on the decade.

  • The 1980s and 1990s would have seen the most dramatic increase in births.

  • Over the 50-year span from 1970–2020, the U.S. would have had about 56 million more births.

U.S. Fertility Rate and the Underpopulation Concern

In recent years, the U.S. fertility rate has dropped below the replacement level, which is 2.1 children per woman. As of the most recent data:

  • U.S. fertility rate (2023 est.): ~1.62 children per woman

  • Replacement rate: 2.1 children per woman

  • Shortfall: -0.48 children per woman

🧮 What If Abortions Had Not Happened?

  • As we saw in the previous data:

    • ~63 million abortions since 1973

    • That's nearly 1 in 6 Americans never born

    • Many would now be in their prime working and parenting years

    If even half of those children had been born and had children of their own, the replacement crisis might not exist.



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